SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 61.82%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 19.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.81%) and 3-1 (7.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.25%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Brentford |
61.82% ( 0.48) | 19.17% ( -0.2) | 19.01% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 63.51% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.52% ( 0.57) | 31.48% ( -0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.04% ( 0.67) | 52.95% ( -0.66) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.1% ( 0.28) | 9.9% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.2% ( 0.65) | 32.79% ( -0.65) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.48% ( 0.09) | 29.51% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.47% ( 0.11) | 65.53% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Brentford |
| 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.06)1-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.05)5-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.04)4-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.7% Total : 61.82% | 1-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.36% Total : 19.17% | 1-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.82% Total : 19.01% |
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