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Premier League | Gameweek 18
Dec 19, 2021 at 2pm UK
St James' Park
MC

Newcastle
0 - 4
Man City


Hayden (21')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Dias (5'), Cancelo (27'), Mahrez (63'), Sterling (86')
Rodri (25'), Silva (30')

We said: Newcastle United 0-3 Manchester City

Man City are strong favourites for this one and after putting seven past Leeds, the visitors are expected to be free flowing in front of goal again on Sunday. Newcastle are in a tough period with games against the top two and teams around the top four, but they have not managed to show much in their last few games which suggests that they can take anything from this clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 71.03%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 11.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 2-1 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawManchester City
11.88%17.09%71.03%
Both teams to score 52.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.15%36.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.98%59.02%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.07%41.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.62%78.38%
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.8%9.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.86%31.14%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 11.88%
    Manchester City 71.03%
    Draw 17.09%
Newcastle UnitedDrawManchester City
2-1 @ 3.48%
1-0 @ 3.35%
2-0 @ 1.46%
3-2 @ 1.2%
3-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 11.88%
1-1 @ 8%
2-2 @ 4.15%
0-0 @ 3.86%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 17.09%
0-2 @ 10.98%
1-2 @ 9.54%
0-1 @ 9.2%
0-3 @ 8.74%
1-3 @ 7.59%
0-4 @ 5.21%
1-4 @ 4.53%
2-3 @ 3.3%
0-5 @ 2.49%
1-5 @ 2.16%
2-4 @ 1.97%
0-6 @ 0.99%
2-5 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 71.03%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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