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EFL Cup | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Jan 12, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
CL

Spurs
0 - 1
Chelsea

We said: Tottenham Hotspur 1-2 Chelsea (Chelsea win 4-1 on aggregate)

There are no two ways about it - any lack of urgency or ruthlessness from this Tottenham side will prove fatal, and Conte ought to send his side out there to attack a Chelsea backline that is far from impenetrable. However, having to call upon the big hitters from the bench to beat Morecambe does not bode well for the hosts, and we expect Chelsea to see the job through and book their tickets to Wembley. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Chelsea in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Chelsea.

Result
Tottenham HotspurDrawChelsea
35.94%26.43%37.62%
Both teams to score 52.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.96%52.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.23%73.77%
Tottenham Hotspur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.14%27.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.54%63.45%
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.12%26.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.81%62.19%
Score Analysis
    Tottenham Hotspur 35.94%
    Chelsea 37.62%
    Draw 26.43%
Tottenham HotspurDrawChelsea
1-0 @ 9.57%
2-1 @ 8.04%
2-0 @ 6.12%
3-1 @ 3.42%
3-0 @ 2.61%
3-2 @ 2.25%
4-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 35.94%
1-1 @ 12.57%
0-0 @ 7.49%
2-2 @ 5.28%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 9.84%
1-2 @ 8.26%
0-2 @ 6.46%
1-3 @ 3.62%
0-3 @ 2.83%
2-3 @ 2.31%
1-4 @ 1.19%
0-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 37.62%

Read more!
Read more!


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