SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 48.96%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aston Villa in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Aston Villa.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Crystal Palace |
48.96% ( -0.53) | 25.25% ( -0.1) | 25.78% ( 0.63) |
| Both teams to score 51.78% ( 0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.87% ( 0.89) | 51.12% ( -0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.02% ( 0.78) | 72.97% ( -0.78) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.1% ( 0.14) | 20.9% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.39% ( 0.21) | 53.61% ( -0.21) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.46% ( 1.02) | 34.54% ( -1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.74% ( 1.07) | 71.26% ( -1.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa | Draw | Crystal Palace |
| 1-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.25)3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.54% Total : 48.96% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.26)2-2 @ 5% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.16% Total : 25.78% |
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