SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 48.96%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aston Villa in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Aston Villa.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Crystal Palace |
48.96% ( -0.53) | 25.25% ( -0.1) | 25.78% ( 0.63) |
| Both teams to score 51.78% ( 0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.87% ( 0.89) | 51.12% ( -0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.02% ( 0.78) | 72.97% ( -0.78) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.1% ( 0.14) | 20.9% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.39% ( 0.21) | 53.61% ( -0.21) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.46% ( 1.02) | 34.54% ( -1.02) |
