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Premier League | Gameweek 22
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Falmer Stadium
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Brighton
1 - 0
Bournemouth

Mitoma (87')
Veltman (9'), Dunk (69'), Caicedo (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Smith (84')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 70.16%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 11.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawBournemouth
70.16% (0.007000000000005 0.01) 18.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 11.5% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Both teams to score 46.98% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.29% (0.013999999999996 0.01)43.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.9% (0.015000000000001 0.02)66.1% (-0.012 -0.01)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.75% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)11.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.17% (0.01400000000001 0.01)35.83% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.93% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)47.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.46% (0.0040000000000013 0)82.54% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 70.15%
    Bournemouth 11.5%
    Draw 18.33%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawBournemouth
2-0 @ 12.63%
1-0 @ 11.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.52%
3-0 @ 9.2% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 6.94% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 5.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.61%
5-0 @ 2.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-1 @ 1.66% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 70.15%
1-1 @ 8.72% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 5.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 3.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 18.33%
0-1 @ 3.99% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 3.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.5%
2-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 11.5%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Brighton 2-1 Liverpool
Sunday, January 29 at 1.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Leicester 2-2 Brighton
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 3-0 Liverpool
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-5 Brighton
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Everton 1-4 Brighton
Tuesday, January 3 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 2-4 Arsenal
Saturday, December 31 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 2-0 Bournemouth
Saturday, January 14 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 2-4 Burnley
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Man Utd 3-0 Bournemouth
Tuesday, January 3 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-2 Crystal Palace
Saturday, December 31 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 2-0 Bournemouth
Tuesday, December 27 at 5.30pm in Premier League


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