Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 74.71%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 8.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.41%) and 0-3 (10.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-0 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
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