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Thursday, March 28
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Premier League | Gameweek 21
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
King Power Stadium
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Leicester
2 - 2
Brighton

Albrighton (38'), Barnes (63')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mitoma (27'), Ferguson (88')
De Zerbi (53'), Mac Allister (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 29.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 2-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Leicester CityDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
29.8% (-0.026 -0.03) 24.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 45.96% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 58.15% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.84% (0.025000000000006 0.03)44.16% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.46% (0.026000000000003 0.03)66.54% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)27.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)63.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.64% (0.02300000000001 0.02)19.36% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.85% (0.037999999999997 0.04)51.15% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 29.81%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 45.96%
    Draw 24.23%
Leicester CityDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 7.23% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 6.9% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.08% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.53%
3-0 @ 1.87% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 29.81%
1-1 @ 11.32%
2-2 @ 5.93% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.23%
1-2 @ 9.29% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 8.86% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 7.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 5.09% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.98% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 3.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 2.09% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 45.96%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-0 Leicester
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 2-0 Leicester
Tuesday, January 10 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Gillingham 0-1 Leicester
Saturday, January 7 at 12.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Leicester 0-1 Fulham
Tuesday, January 3 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 2-1 Leicester
Friday, December 30 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 0-3 Newcastle
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 3-0 Liverpool
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-5 Brighton
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Everton 1-4 Brighton
Tuesday, January 3 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 2-4 Arsenal
Saturday, December 31 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 1-3 Brighton
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Charlton 0-0 Brighton (4-3 pen.)
Wednesday, December 21 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup


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