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MU
Premier League | Gameweek 25
Feb 21, 2021 at 7pm UK
Old Trafford
NL
Man Utd
3 - 1
Newcastle
Rashford (30'), James (57'), Fernandes (75' pen.)
Fernandes (38')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Saint-Maximin (36')
Hayden (38'), Joelinton (39')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 73.89%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 10.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.43%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-2 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Manchester UnitedDrawNewcastle United
73.89%15.86%10.25%
Both teams to score 51.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.43%35.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.38%57.62%
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.76%8.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.2%28.8%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.07%43.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.93%80.07%
Score Analysis
    Manchester United 73.88%
    Newcastle United 10.25%
    Draw 15.86%
Manchester UnitedDrawNewcastle United
2-0 @ 11.27%
3-0 @ 9.39%
2-1 @ 9.28%
1-0 @ 9.04%
3-1 @ 7.72%
4-0 @ 5.86%
4-1 @ 4.82%
3-2 @ 3.18%
5-0 @ 2.93%
5-1 @ 2.41%
4-2 @ 1.98%
6-0 @ 1.22%
6-1 @ 1%
5-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 73.88%
1-1 @ 7.43%
2-2 @ 3.82%
0-0 @ 3.62%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 15.86%
1-2 @ 3.06%
0-1 @ 2.98%
0-2 @ 1.22%
2-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 10.25%

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