Premier League | Gameweek 25

Feb 21, 2021 at 7pm UK

Old Trafford

Man Utd
3 - 1
Newcastle

Rashford (30'), James (57'), Fernandes (75' pen.)
Fernandes (38')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Saint-Maximin (36')
Hayden (38'), Joelinton (39')

Scholes: "Sloppy" De Gea a problem for Man Utd

Scholes heaps praise on "sensational" Bruno Fernandes

Steve Bruce "quietly confident" of avoiding the drop

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 73.89%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 10.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.43%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-2 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Manchester United	Draw	Newcastle United
73.89%	15.86%	10.25%

Both teams to score 51.45%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.43%

35.57%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.38%

57.62%

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.76%

8.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.2%

28.8%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.07%

43.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.93%

80.07%

Score Analysis

Manchester United 73.88%

Newcastle United 10.25%

Draw 15.86%

Manchester United	Draw	Newcastle United
2-0 @ 11.27% 3-0 @ 9.39% 2-1 @ 9.28% 1-0 @ 9.04% 3-1 @ 7.72% 4-0 @ 5.86% 4-1 @ 4.82% 3-2 @ 3.18% 5-0 @ 2.93% 5-1 @ 2.41% 4-2 @ 1.98% 6-0 @ 1.22% 6-1 @ 1% 5-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.81% Total : 73.88%	1-1 @ 7.43% 2-2 @ 3.82% 0-0 @ 3.62% Other @ 0.99% Total : 15.86%	1-2 @ 3.06% 0-1 @ 2.98% 0-2 @ 1.22% 2-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.95% Total : 10.25%