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Premier League | Gameweek 11
Nov 6, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Falmer Stadium
NL

Brighton
1 - 1
Newcastle

Trossard (24' pen.)
Lallana (75'), Bissouma (84'), Maupay (84')
Sanchez (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hayden (66')
Lascelles (12'), Murphy (60'), Shelvey (69'), Wilson (73')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 49.78%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 23.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawNewcastle United
49.78%27.04%23.18%
Both teams to score 44.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.35%59.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.03%79.97%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.88%24.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.57%58.43%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.37%41.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.89%78.11%
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 49.77%
    Newcastle United 23.18%
    Draw 27.03%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawNewcastle United
1-0 @ 14.27%
2-0 @ 10.15%
2-1 @ 8.9%
3-0 @ 4.81%
3-1 @ 4.22%
3-2 @ 1.85%
4-0 @ 1.71%
4-1 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 49.77%
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 10.04%
2-2 @ 3.9%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 27.03%
0-1 @ 8.8%
1-2 @ 5.48%
0-2 @ 3.86%
1-3 @ 1.6%
2-3 @ 1.14%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 23.18%

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