SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 64.4%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 15.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.98%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-0 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Chelsea |
| 15.25% | 20.34% | 64.4% |
| Both teams to score 50.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.97% | 44.03% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.58% | 66.42% |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.5% | 41.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.01% | 77.99% |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.06% | 12.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.6% | 39.4% |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | Chelsea |
| 1-0 @ 4.72% 2-1 @ 4.25% 2-0 @ 2.08% 3-2 @ 1.27% 3-1 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.69% Total : 15.26% | 1-1 @ 9.66% 0-0 @ 5.37% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.97% Total : 20.34% | 0-2 @ 11.22% 0-1 @ 10.98% 1-2 @ 9.88% 0-3 @ 7.65% 1-3 @ 6.73% 0-4 @ 3.91% 1-4 @ 3.44% 2-3 @ 2.96% 0-5 @ 1.6% 2-4 @ 1.51% 1-5 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.1% Total : 64.39% |
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