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Premier League | Gameweek 9
Oct 23, 2021 at 3pm UK
Selhurst Park
NL

Crystal Palace
1 - 1
Newcastle

Benteke (56')
Andersen (13'), Ward (27'), Benteke (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Wilson (65')
Wilson (27'), Lascelles (59'), Joelinton (90+2'), Ritchie (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 36.6%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.37%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (12.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
Crystal PalaceDrawNewcastle United
36.6%29.67%33.73%
Both teams to score 42.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.89%64.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.74%83.25%
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.51%33.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.88%70.11%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.57%35.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.81%72.18%
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace 36.59%
    Newcastle United 33.72%
    Draw 29.65%
Crystal PalaceDrawNewcastle United
1-0 @ 12.97%
2-1 @ 7.37%
2-0 @ 7.1%
3-1 @ 2.69%
3-0 @ 2.59%
3-2 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 36.59%
1-1 @ 13.46%
0-0 @ 11.85%
2-2 @ 3.82%
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.65%
0-1 @ 12.3%
1-2 @ 6.99%
0-2 @ 6.39%
1-3 @ 2.42%
0-3 @ 2.21%
2-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 33.72%

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