SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 69.62%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 12.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 2-1 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
12.88% ( -0.04) | 17.5% ( 0.06) | 69.62% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.5% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.84% ( -0.43) | 36.15% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.73% ( -0.47) | 58.27% ( 0.47) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.11% ( -0.35) | 39.88% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.45% ( -0.32) | 76.54% ( 0.32) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.65% ( -0.11) | 9.34% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.5% ( -0.27) | 31.5% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 2-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 1.58% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.65% Total : 12.88% | 1-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 17.5% | 0-2 @ 10.47% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 9.62% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.14)0-3 @ 8.27% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 7.6% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 4.9% ( 0)1-4 @ 4.51% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.05)0-5 @ 2.32% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 2.14% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.04)2-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)0-6 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.48% Total : 69.62% |
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