Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 48.29%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
