Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 48.29%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Manchester United |
27.18% | 24.53% | 48.29% |
Both teams to score 55.29% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.91% | 47.09% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.68% | 69.32% |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.73% | 31.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.38% | 67.62% |
Manchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.44% | 19.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.52% | 51.48% |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Manchester United |
1-0 @ 7.11% 2-1 @ 6.74% 2-0 @ 4.13% 3-1 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 2.13% 3-0 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.85% Total : 27.19% | 1-1 @ 11.6% 0-0 @ 6.12% 2-2 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.53% | 0-1 @ 9.98% 1-2 @ 9.47% 0-2 @ 8.14% 1-3 @ 5.15% 0-3 @ 4.43% 2-3 @ 2.99% 1-4 @ 2.1% 0-4 @ 1.81% 2-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 3% Total : 48.29% |
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