Premier League | Gameweek 27

Mar 6, 2021 at 12.30pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
1 - 1
Arsenal

Wood (39')
Pieters (71')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Aubameyang (6')
Saka (55')

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The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 18.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.03%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-0 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Arsenal
18.97%	23.73%	57.3%

Both teams to score 47.87%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.99%

52.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.25%

73.75%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.34%

41.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.86%

78.14%

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.05%

17.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.22%

48.78%

Score Analysis

Burnley 18.97%

Arsenal 57.29%

Draw 23.72%

Burnley	Draw	Arsenal
1-0 @ 6.55% 2-1 @ 4.92% 2-0 @ 2.87% 3-1 @ 1.44% 3-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.96% Total : 18.97%	1-1 @ 11.24% 0-0 @ 7.48% 2-2 @ 4.23% Other @ 0.78% Total : 23.72%	0-1 @ 12.84% 0-2 @ 11.03% 1-2 @ 9.66% 0-3 @ 6.32% 1-3 @ 5.53% 0-4 @ 2.71% 2-3 @ 2.42% 1-4 @ 2.37% 2-4 @ 1.04% 0-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.44% Total : 57.29%