Premier League | Gameweek 26

Feb 28, 2021 at 12pm UK

King Power Stadium

Leicester
1 - 3
Arsenal

Tielemans (6')
Thomas (38'), Tielemans (72')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Luiz (39'), Lacazette (45+2' pen.), Pepe (52')
Tierney (90+3')

Ian Wright hails Arsenal trio

Arsenal end six-year top-three winless run with Leicester triumph

Mikel Arteta: 'We are firmly moving in the right direction'

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Leicester City	Draw	Arsenal
39.12%	25.82%	35.06%

Both teams to score 54.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.5%

49.49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.47%

71.53%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.12%

24.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.51%

59.48%

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.83%

27.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.43%

62.56%

Score Analysis

Leicester City 39.12%

Arsenal 35.06%

Draw 25.82%

Leicester City	Draw	Arsenal
1-0 @ 9.4% 2-1 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 6.54% 3-1 @ 3.95% 3-0 @ 3.03% 3-2 @ 2.58% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.66% Total : 39.12%	1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 6.76% 2-2 @ 5.55% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.82%	0-1 @ 8.81% 1-2 @ 7.98% 0-2 @ 5.74% 1-3 @ 3.47% 0-3 @ 2.49% 2-3 @ 2.41% 1-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.03% Total : 35.06%