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Premier League | Gameweek 22
Mar 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Turf Moor
LL

Burnley
0 - 2
Leicester


Weghorst (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Maddison (82'), Vardy (90')
Dewsbury-Hall (90+1')

We said: Burnley 0-2 Leicester City

With Leicester hoping to be boosted by several major returns from injury, a Burnley side lacking a proper presence up top will surely fall short again once more. The Clarets have their own COVID-19 cluster to worry about, and confidence will not exactly be high after bowing out of the FA Cup to lower-league opposition, so a win and clean sheet should be on the menu for Leicester. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Leicester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leicester City.

Result
BurnleyDrawLeicester City
29.21%24.8%45.99%
Both teams to score 55.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.99%47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.75%69.25%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.26%29.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.19%65.8%
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.5%20.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.01%52.98%
Score Analysis
    Burnley 29.21%
    Leicester City 45.99%
    Draw 24.79%
BurnleyDrawLeicester City
1-0 @ 7.39%
2-1 @ 7.1%
2-0 @ 4.48%
3-1 @ 2.87%
3-2 @ 2.28%
3-0 @ 1.81%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 29.21%
1-1 @ 11.71%
0-0 @ 6.1%
2-2 @ 5.63%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 9.66%
1-2 @ 9.28%
0-2 @ 7.66%
1-3 @ 4.91%
0-3 @ 4.04%
2-3 @ 2.97%
1-4 @ 1.94%
0-4 @ 1.6%
2-4 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 45.99%

Read more!
Read more!


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