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Thursday, March 28
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Premier League | Gameweek 25
Feb 13, 2022 at 2pm UK
Turf Moor
LL

Burnley
0 - 1
Liverpool

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fabinho (40')
Henderson (27')

We said: Burnley 0-2 Liverpool

Burnley are under immense pressure to make their games in hand on the sides above them count for something, but it is difficult to see the goal-shy Clarets finding their way through a staunch Reds backline. Salah and Mane's returns, Diaz's dazzling debut and Jota's red-hot streak makes for very pleasant reading for the travelling crowd, and Klopp should oversee another routine success at Turf Moor. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 64.4%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 15.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.26%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-0 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawLiverpool
15.13%20.47%64.4%
Both teams to score 50.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.17%44.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.81%67.19%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.85%42.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.43%78.57%
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.82%13.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.1%39.9%
Score Analysis
    Burnley 15.13%
    Liverpool 64.39%
    Draw 20.47%
BurnleyDrawLiverpool
1-0 @ 4.8%
2-1 @ 4.2%
2-0 @ 2.07%
3-2 @ 1.23%
3-1 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 15.13%
1-1 @ 9.73%
0-0 @ 5.56%
2-2 @ 4.26%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 20.47%
0-2 @ 11.4%
0-1 @ 11.26%
1-2 @ 9.86%
0-3 @ 7.71%
1-3 @ 6.66%
0-4 @ 3.9%
1-4 @ 3.37%
2-3 @ 2.88%
0-5 @ 1.58%
2-4 @ 1.46%
1-5 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 64.39%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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