Premier League | Gameweek 35

May 8, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Etihad Stadium

Man City
1 - 2
Chelsea

Sterling (44')
Sterling (12'), Jesus (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ziyech (63'), Alonso (90+2')

Raheem Sterling frustrated not to secure Premier League title

Thomas Tuchel joins elite crowd with Man City victory

Pep Guardiola refuses to blame Aguero panenka miss for Chelsea loss

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 50.26%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 0-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	Chelsea
50.26%	23.95%	25.78%

Both teams to score 55.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.35%

45.65%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.03%

67.97%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.78%

18.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.77%

49.23%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.39%

31.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.99%

68.01%

Score Analysis

Manchester City 50.26%

Chelsea 25.78%

Draw 23.95%

Manchester City	Draw	Chelsea
1-0 @ 9.8% 2-1 @ 9.62% 2-0 @ 8.35% 3-1 @ 5.46% 3-0 @ 4.74% 3-2 @ 3.14% 4-1 @ 2.32% 4-0 @ 2.02% 4-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.48% Total : 50.26%	1-1 @ 11.29% 0-0 @ 5.76% 2-2 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.95%	0-1 @ 6.63% 1-2 @ 6.5% 0-2 @ 3.82% 1-3 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 2.13% 0-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.74% Total : 25.78%