Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 66.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 13.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.57%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
