Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-0 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Arsenal in this match.
