SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 78.96%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 8.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.09%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-2 (2.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
78.96% ( -0.18) | 12.36% ( 0.09) | 8.68% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 60.36% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.78% ( -0.16) | 22.22% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 58.81% ( -0.23) | 41.19% ( 0.23) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.55% ( -0.06) | 4.45% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 81.71% ( -0.18) | 18.29% ( 0.18) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.17% ( 0.04) | 36.83% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.38% ( 0.04) | 73.62% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
| 3-0 @ 8.23% ( -0) 3-1 @ 8.23% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.03)6-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.06% ( -0)6-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)7-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)7-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.39% Total : 78.96% | 1-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 0.3% Total : 12.36% | 1-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.18% Total : 8.68% |
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