Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chelsea win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Southampton has a probability of 37.82% and a draw has a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.03%) and 0-2 (5.46%). The likeliest Southampton win is 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.83%).