SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 68.11%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 14.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 3-1 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.65%), while for a Shamrock Rovers win it was 1-2 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
68.11% ( -1.69) | 17.36% ( 0.83) | 14.53% ( 0.86) |
| Both teams to score 60.09% ( -0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.68% ( -2.2) | 31.32% ( 2.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.23% ( -2.64) | 52.77% ( 2.65) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.57% ( -0.9) | 8.43% ( 0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.72% ( -2.29) | 29.27% ( 2.29) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.63% ( -0.37) | 34.37% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.92% ( -0.4) | 71.08% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.3)3-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.07)1-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.55)4-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.33)4-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.26)3-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.2)5-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.28)5-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.24)5-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.16)6-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.17)6-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.14)4-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.7% Total : 68.11% | 1-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.34)3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.27% Total : 17.36% | 1-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.24) 0-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.33)2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.44% Total : 14.53% |
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