SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 67.76%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 14.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 1-0 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-2 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
67.76% ( 0.03) | 18.12% ( 0.06) | 14.11% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 55.85% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.85% ( -0.51) | 36.15% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.74% ( -0.56) | 58.26% ( 0.56) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.22% ( -0.13) | 9.78% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.48% ( -0.3) | 32.52% ( 0.3) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.9% ( -0.45) | 38.09% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.14% ( -0.44) | 74.86% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
| 2-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.2% Total : 67.76% | 1-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 18.12% | 1-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 1.74% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.94% Total : 14.11% |
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