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Premier League | Gameweek 16
Dec 15, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stamford Bridge
BL

Chelsea
2 - 1
Brentford

Cucurella (43'), Jackson (80')
Cucurella (90+5')
Cucurella (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mbeumo (90')
Janelt (90+7'), Cucurella (90+8')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Astana 1-3 Chelsea
Thursday, December 12 at 3.30pm in Conference League
Last Game: Brentford 4-2 Newcastle
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 75.91%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 10.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 3-0 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.04%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
ChelseaDrawBrentford
75.91% (-0.246 -0.25) 14% (0.18 0.18) 10.09% (0.065 0.06)
Both teams to score 58.96% (-0.574 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.74% (-0.76000000000001 -0.76)26.26% (0.76 0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.45% (-0.98 -0.98)46.55% (0.98 0.98)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.25% (-0.202 -0.2)5.74% (0.202 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.84% (-0.58199999999999 -0.58)22.15% (0.581 0.58)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.55% (-0.47300000000001 -0.47)37.45% (0.474 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.77% (-0.467 -0.47)74.23% (0.467 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea 75.91%
    Brentford 10.09%
    Draw 14%
ChelseaDrawBrentford
2-0 @ 8.78% (0.204 0.2)
2-1 @ 8.62% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
3-0 @ 8.36% (0.093 0.09)
3-1 @ 8.21% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.15% (0.218 0.22)
4-0 @ 5.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.87% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-2 @ 4.03% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
5-0 @ 3.41% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-1 @ 3.35% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-2 @ 2.88% (-0.079 -0.08)
5-2 @ 1.65% (-0.066 -0.07)
6-0 @ 1.63% (-0.043 -0.04)
6-1 @ 1.6% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-3 @ 0.94% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 4.47%
Total : 75.91%
1-1 @ 6.04% (0.138 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.15% (0.102 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 14%
1-2 @ 2.97% (0.031 0.03)
0-1 @ 2.11% (0.074 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.04% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 10.09%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Astana 1-3 Chelsea
Thursday, December 12 at 3.30pm in Conference League
Last Game: Spurs 3-4 Chelsea
Sunday, December 8 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 1-5 Chelsea
Wednesday, December 4 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 3-0 Aston Villa
Sunday, December 1 at 1.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Heidenheim 0-2 Chelsea
Thursday, November 28 at 5.45pm in Conference League
Last Game: Leicester 1-2 Chelsea
Saturday, November 23 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 4-2 Newcastle
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-1 Brentford
Wednesday, December 4 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 4-1 Leicester
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 0-0 Brentford
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 3-2 Bournemouth
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 2-1 Brentford
Monday, November 4 at 8pm in Premier League


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