Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 75.91%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 10.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 3-0 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.04%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
Result | ||
Chelsea | Draw | Brentford |
75.91% (![]() | 14% (![]() | 10.09% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.96% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.74% (![]() | 26.26% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.45% (![]() | 46.55% (![]() |
Chelsea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.25% (![]() | 5.74% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
77.84% (![]() | 22.15% (![]() |
Brentford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.55% (![]() | 37.45% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.77% (![]() | 74.23% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Chelsea | Draw | Brentford |
2-0 @ 8.78% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.62% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.36% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 8.21% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 6.15% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.97% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.87% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.03% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 3.41% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 3.35% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.88% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.65% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.6% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 4.47% Total : 75.91% | 1-1 @ 6.04% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.24% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.32% ( ![]() Other @ 0.26% Total : 14% | 1-2 @ 2.97% (![]() 0-1 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.39% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.04% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 1.62% Total : 10.09% |
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