We said: Crystal Palace 1-2 Chelsea
None of the last 21 Premier League games between these two sides has finished level, and we are backing Chelsea to keep that run going with a ninth successive win over Palace on Saturday.
Indeed, Chelsea's win percentage against Palace of 76% is the highest by one team over another in Premier League history, and their Club World Cup triumph should boost them when it comes to their faltering domestic form.
Palace have not been easy to beat this season and so it is unlikely to be straightforward for the visitors, but they should have enough to earn all three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 58.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 19.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.94%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-0 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Chelsea in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Chelsea.
