Al-Hilal
0 - 1
Chelsea

Cuellar (66'), Albulayhi (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lukaku (32')
Kovacic (81')

Build‑up

Low: 'Chelsea lacked rhythm in win over Al-Hilal'

Lukaku goal earns Chelsea spot in Club World Cup final

The Match

This could be a really tricky match for Chelsea considering the conditions, and we are not expecting the Blues to breeze into the final. That said, Tuchel's side will have superior quality all across the pitch, which is leading us to predict a narrow success for the Champions League holders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 53.74%. A win for Al-Hilal had a probability of 23.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Al-Hilal win was 2-1 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
Al-Hilal	Draw	Chelsea
23.9%	22.36%	53.74%

Both teams to score 59.32%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.76%

40.24%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.39%

62.61%

Al-Hilal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.78%

30.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.61%

66.39%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.01%

14.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.56%

43.44%

Score Analysis

Al-Hilal 23.9%

Chelsea 53.74%

Draw 22.36%

Al-Hilal	Draw	Chelsea
2-1 @ 6.16% 1-0 @ 5.42% 2-0 @ 3.24% 3-1 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 2.33% 3-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 3% Total : 23.9%	1-1 @ 10.28% 2-2 @ 5.84% 0-0 @ 4.53% 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.36%	1-2 @ 9.76% 0-1 @ 8.6% 0-2 @ 8.16% 1-3 @ 6.18% 0-3 @ 5.16% 2-3 @ 3.69% 1-4 @ 2.93% 0-4 @ 2.45% 2-4 @ 1.75% 1-5 @ 1.11% 0-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.02% Total : 53.74%