We said: Crystal Palace 2-0 Southampton
Facing injury crises between the sticks and in the final third, Southampton's prospects of ending their winless run certainly appear to be slim ahead of Wednesday's battle.
Palace have been largely solid at home this term and have plenty of exciting attackers waiting for their chance to benefit from midweek rotation, so we are backing the Eagles to march to a second consecutive success here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
