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Premier League | Gameweek 16
Dec 11, 2021 at 3pm UK
Emirates Stadium
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Arsenal
3 - 0
Southampton

Lacazette (21'), Odegaard (27'), Magalhaes (62')
Magalhaes (3'), Saka (17')
FT(HT: 2-0)

We said: Arsenal 2-0 Southampton

Given Arsenal's consistent spell of good fortunes at home and Southampton's inability to make their travels worthwhile, this is the perfect opportunity for the Gunners to return to winning ways - not that it will do much good for Arteta's standing with the fans. Should the Gunners learn from their mistakes of the past few weeks and attempt to kill the game off if 1-0 up, we ought to see Arteta's side return to winning ways in comfortable fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 64.05%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 15.07%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Southampton win it was 0-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
ArsenalDrawSouthampton
64.05%20.89%15.07%
Both teams to score 48.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.24%46.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.98%69.02%
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.11%13.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.68%41.32%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.58%43.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.35%79.65%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 64.05%
    Southampton 15.07%
    Draw 20.89%
ArsenalDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 11.91%
2-0 @ 11.75%
2-1 @ 9.8%
3-0 @ 7.73%
3-1 @ 6.45%
4-0 @ 3.82%
4-1 @ 3.18%
3-2 @ 2.69%
5-0 @ 1.51%
4-2 @ 1.33%
5-1 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 64.05%
1-1 @ 9.93%
0-0 @ 6.03%
2-2 @ 4.09%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 20.89%
0-1 @ 5.03%
1-2 @ 4.14%
0-2 @ 2.1%
1-3 @ 1.15%
2-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 15.07%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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