SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 36.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 38.16% | 25.43% | 36.41% |
| Both teams to score 56.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.36% | 47.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.17% | 69.83% |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.46% | 24.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.98% | 59.02% |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.5% | 25.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.65% | 60.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 1-0 @ 8.79% 2-1 @ 8.44% 2-0 @ 6.18% 3-1 @ 3.95% 3-0 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 2.7% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.02% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.86% Total : 38.16% | 1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 6.26% 2-2 @ 5.77% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 8.55% 1-2 @ 8.21% 0-2 @ 5.84% 1-3 @ 3.74% 0-3 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 2.63% 1-4 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.6% Total : 36.41% |
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