SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Everton had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Everton win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%).
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Southampton |
32.03% ( -1.1) | 24.6% ( -0.11) | 43.36% ( 1.21) |
| Both teams to score 58.03% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.18% ( 0.12) | 44.82% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.82% ( 0.12) | 67.18% ( -0.12) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.24% ( -0.62) | 26.76% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.96% ( -0.83) | 62.04% ( 0.83) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.24% ( 0.61) | 20.76% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.6% ( 0.94) | 53.4% ( -0.94) |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Southampton |
| 2-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.12% Total : 32.03% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.6% | 1-2 @ 9.05% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 4.74% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.74% Total : 43.36% |
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