SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 45.87%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Bournemouth |
45.87% ( 0.03) | 25.03% ( 0.02) | 29.1% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 55.02% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.93% ( -0.1) | 48.07% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.76% ( -0.09) | 70.24% ( 0.09) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.01% ( -0.02) | 20.99% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.24% ( -0.04) | 53.76% ( 0.04) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.64% ( -0.08) | 30.36% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.45% ( -0.1) | 66.55% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 1-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.26% 2-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.82% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.59% Total : 45.87% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.04% | 0-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.53% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.11% Total : 29.1% |
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