Leeds
1 - 0
Watford

Llorente (18')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Femenia (59'), Sarr (65'), Dennis (90')

Build‑up

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Watford had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leeds United in this match.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Watford
45.49%	25.72%	28.79%

Both teams to score 52.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.9%

51.1%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.04%

72.96%

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.57%

22.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.05%

55.95%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.85%

32.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.37%

68.64%

Score Analysis

Leeds United 45.48%

Watford 28.79%

Draw 25.72%

Leeds United	Draw	Watford
1-0 @ 10.77% 2-1 @ 9.14% 2-0 @ 8.06% 3-1 @ 4.56% 3-0 @ 4.02% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.7% 4-0 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.19% Total : 45.48%	1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 7.21% 2-2 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.72%	0-1 @ 8.18% 1-2 @ 6.94% 0-2 @ 4.64% 1-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 1.96% 0-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.68% Total : 28.79%