Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 71.3%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Watford had a probability of 11.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Watford win it was 2-1 (3.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
