SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 63.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 15.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Fulham win it was 0-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Fulham |
63.66% ( 2.16) | 20.72% ( -0.39) | 15.62% ( -1.76) |
| Both teams to score 50.55% ( -2.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.02% ( -1.46) | 44.98% ( 1.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.66% ( -1.42) | 67.33% ( 1.42) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.54% ( 0.19) | 13.45% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.56% ( 0.37) | 40.44% ( -0.37) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.41% ( -3.08) | 41.59% ( 3.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.92% ( -2.82) | 78.07% ( 2.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Fulham |
| 2-0 @ 11.25% ( 0.83) 1-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.76)2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.61)3-1 @ 6.6% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.33)4-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.26)5-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.14)4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.12)5-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.89% Total : 63.65% | 1-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.34)2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.41)Other @ 0.95% Total : 20.72% | 0-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.45)0-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.24)2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.25)Other @ 1.71% Total : 15.62% |
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