SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fulham | Draw | Leeds United |
46.27% ( 0.92) | 23.86% ( -0.03) | 29.86% ( -0.89) |
| Both teams to score 59.47% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.56% ( -0.31) | 42.43% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.16% ( -0.31) | 64.84% ( 0.31) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.45% ( 0.25) | 18.55% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.2% ( 0.43) | 49.79% ( -0.43) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.02% ( -0.73) | 26.98% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.67% ( -0.97) | 62.33% ( 0.97) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fulham | Draw | Leeds United |
| 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.47% Total : 46.27% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 5% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.86% | 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.05% Total : 29.86% |
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