Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 48.5%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
-0.62) 
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