SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 52%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 24.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fulham in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fulham.
| Result | ||
| Fulham | Draw | Southampton |
52% ( -0.17) | 23.59% ( 0.12) | 24.41% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 55.73% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.74% ( -0.46) | 45.26% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.4% ( -0.44) | 67.6% ( 0.44) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.59% ( -0.23) | 17.41% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.15% ( -0.41) | 47.85% ( 0.41) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.48% ( -0.21) | 32.52% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.95% ( -0.23) | 69.05% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fulham | Draw | Southampton |
| 1-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.78% Total : 52% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.58% | 0-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 24.41% |
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