SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 52%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 24.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fulham in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fulham.
| Result | ||
| Fulham | Draw | Southampton |
52% ( -0.17) | 23.59% ( 0.12) | 24.41% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 55.73% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.74% ( -0.46) | 45.26% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.4% ( -0.44) | 67.6% ( 0.44) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.59% ( -0.23) | 17.41% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.15% ( -0.41) | 47.85% ( 0.41) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.48% ( -0.21) | 32.52% ( 0.21) |
