Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.2%) and 0-2 (5.41%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.
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