Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 71.66%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 11.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.88%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-0 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
