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EFL Cup | Fourth Round
Sep 30, 2020 at 7pm UK
Turf Moor
MC

Burnley
0 - 3
Man City

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sterling (35', 49'), Torres (65')
Sterling (76'), Silva (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 71.66%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 11.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.88%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-0 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawManchester City
11.25%17.09%71.66%
Both teams to score 50.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.39%38.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.08%60.92%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.81%44.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.72%80.28%
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.5%9.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.13%31.87%
Score Analysis
    Burnley 11.25%
    Manchester City 71.66%
    Draw 17.09%
BurnleyDrawManchester City
1-0 @ 3.43%
2-1 @ 3.3%
2-0 @ 1.4%
3-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 11.25%
1-1 @ 8.07%
0-0 @ 4.2%
2-2 @ 3.88%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 17.09%
0-2 @ 11.63%
0-1 @ 9.88%
1-2 @ 9.5%
0-3 @ 9.13%
1-3 @ 7.45%
0-4 @ 5.37%
1-4 @ 4.39%
2-3 @ 3.04%
0-5 @ 2.53%
1-5 @ 2.07%
2-4 @ 1.79%
0-6 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 71.66%


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