SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Leicester City |
33% ( -0.02) | 25.46% ( 0.09) | 41.54% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 55.45% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.65% ( -0.42) | 48.35% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.51% ( -0.39) | 70.49% ( 0.39) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.13% ( -0.22) | 27.87% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.52% ( -0.28) | 63.48% ( 0.28) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.87% ( -0.22) | 23.13% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.01% ( -0.32) | 56.99% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Leicester City |
| 1-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.24% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.84% Total : 33% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.83% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.31% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.11% Total : 41.54% |
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