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Premier League | Gameweek 20
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
City Ground
LL

Nott'm Forest
2 - 0
Leicester

Johnson (56', 85')
Johnson (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Tielemans (29'), Amartey (77')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawLeicester City
33% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02) 25.46% (0.094999999999999 0.09) 41.54% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)
Both teams to score 55.45% (-0.328 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.65% (-0.424 -0.42)48.35% (0.427 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.51% (-0.39 -0.39)70.49% (0.39099999999999 0.39)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.13% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)27.87% (0.221 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.52% (-0.281 -0.28)63.48% (0.283 0.28)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.87% (-0.22 -0.22)23.13% (0.222 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.01% (-0.324 -0.32)56.99% (0.32700000000001 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 33%
    Leicester City 41.54%
    Draw 25.46%
Nottingham ForestDrawLeicester City
1-0 @ 8.24% (0.093 0.09)
2-1 @ 7.7% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.26% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.28% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.24% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 33%
1-1 @ 12.05% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.45% (0.113 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.46%
0-1 @ 9.44% (0.104 0.1)
1-2 @ 8.83% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.91% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.31% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.37% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.23% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 41.54%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Wolves (4-3 pen.)
Wednesday, January 11 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Blackpool 4-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Southampton 0-1 Nott'm Forest
Wednesday, January 4 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Chelsea
Sunday, January 1 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 3-0 Nott'm Forest
Tuesday, December 27 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Blackburn 1-4 Nott'm Forest
Wednesday, December 21 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Newcastle 2-0 Leicester
Tuesday, January 10 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Gillingham 0-1 Leicester
Saturday, January 7 at 12.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Leicester 0-1 Fulham
Tuesday, January 3 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 2-1 Leicester
Friday, December 30 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 0-3 Newcastle
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: MK Dons 0-3 Leicester
Tuesday, December 20 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup


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