Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.