SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Leicester City |
44.06% ( 1.43) | 23.8% ( -0.18) | 32.13% ( -1.24) |
| Both teams to score 60.93% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.95% ( 0.44) | 41.05% ( -0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.56% ( 0.45) | 63.44% ( -0.44) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.09% ( 0.8) | 18.9% ( -0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.61% ( 1.3) | 50.39% ( -1.3) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.13% ( -0.52) | 24.87% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.52% ( -0.73) | 59.47% ( 0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | Leicester City |
| 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.2)3-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.4% Total : 44.06% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.79% | 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.13% |
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