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Sunday, November 3
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Premier League | Gameweek 4
Sep 14, 2024 at 8pm UK
Vitality Stadium
CL

Bournemouth
0 - 1
Chelsea


Christie (18'), Cook (35'), Sanchez (37'), Kluivert (59'), Iraola (66'), Senesi (80'), Semenyo (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nkunku (86')
Fofana (31'), Cucurella (36'), Smith (38'), Jackson (52'), Colwill (57'), Sancho (57'), Veiga (87'), Felix (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Everton 2-3 Bournemouth
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 1-1 Crystal Palace
Sunday, September 1 at 1.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 37.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.23%) and 2-0 (5.17%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
BournemouthDrawChelsea
39.2% (0.010999999999996 0.01) 23.1% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 37.7% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 64.97% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.67% (0.007000000000005 0.01)36.33% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.54% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)58.45% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.95% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)19.05% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.36% (0.014000000000003 0.01)50.63% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.26% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)19.73% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)51.76% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 39.2%
    Chelsea 37.7%
    Draw 23.09%
BournemouthDrawChelsea
2-1 @ 8.39% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 6.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.17% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.64% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.92% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.56% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 39.2%
1-1 @ 10.11%
2-2 @ 6.81% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 3.76% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-3 @ 2.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 23.09%
1-2 @ 8.21% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 6.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.95% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.44% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 3.68%
0-3 @ 2.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.8% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.49%
0-4 @ 1.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 37.7%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Everton 2-3 Bournemouth
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 1-0 Bournemouth
Wednesday, August 28 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-1 Newcastle
Sunday, August 25 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Bournemouth
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 3-2 Girona
Saturday, August 10 at 5.15pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-0 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, August 4 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Chelsea 1-1 Crystal Palace
Sunday, September 1 at 1.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Servette 2-1 Chelsea
Thursday, August 29 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Wolves 2-6 Chelsea
Sunday, August 25 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 2-0 Servette
Thursday, August 22 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Chelsea 0-2 Man City
Sunday, August 18 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 1-1 Inter Milan
Sunday, August 11 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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