SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 67.55%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 13.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.03%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Fulham win it was 1-0 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fulham | Draw | Manchester City |
13.68% ( 0.03) | 18.77% ( -0.02) | 67.55% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.2% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.72% ( 0.15) | 40.28% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.35% ( 0.15) | 62.65% ( -0.16) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.63% ( 0.14) | 41.37% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.11% ( 0.12) | 77.88% ( -0.13) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.03% ( 0.04) | 10.97% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.78% ( 0.08) | 35.22% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fulham | Draw | Manchester City |
| 1-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 1.77% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.57% Total : 13.68% | 1-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.77% | 0-2 @ 11.08% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 10.03% ( -0.05)1-2 @ 9.78% ( 0)0-3 @ 8.16% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 7.21% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 4.51% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.98% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.99% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.11% Total : 67.55% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
