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Premier League | Gameweek 33
Apr 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
London Stadium
LL

West Ham
1 - 2
Liverpool

Paqueta (12')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gakpo (18'), Matip (67')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.87%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Liverpool in this match.

Result
West Ham UnitedDrawLiverpool
30.78% (-0.275 -0.27) 23.57% (0.025000000000002 0.03) 45.64% (0.244 0.24)
Both teams to score 61.06% (-0.249 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.42% (-0.263 -0.26)40.57% (0.258 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.04% (-0.271 -0.27)62.95% (0.265 0.27)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.53% (-0.301 -0.3)25.47% (0.296 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.7% (-0.411 -0.41)60.3% (0.406 0.41)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.93% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)18.06% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.02% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)48.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    West Ham United 30.78%
    Liverpool 45.64%
    Draw 23.56%
West Ham UnitedDrawLiverpool
2-1 @ 7.36% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-0 @ 6.29% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.3% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.36% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.96% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 30.78%
1-1 @ 10.76% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.3% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.6% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.64% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.56%
1-2 @ 9.21% (0.029 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.87% (0.092 0.09)
0-2 @ 6.74% (0.079 0.08)
1-3 @ 5.26% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.84% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.59% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.25% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.64% (0.019 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 45.64%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-4 West Ham
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 4-1 Gent
Thursday, April 20 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: West Ham 2-2 Arsenal
Sunday, April 16 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Gent 1-1 West Ham
Thursday, April 13 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Fulham 0-1 West Ham
Saturday, April 8 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 1-5 Newcastle
Wednesday, April 5 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 3-2 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leeds 1-6 Liverpool
Monday, April 17 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 2-2 Arsenal
Sunday, April 9 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 0-0 Liverpool
Tuesday, April 4 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 4-1 Liverpool
Saturday, April 1 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-0 Liverpool
Wednesday, March 15 at 8pm in Champions League


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