SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 87.4%. A draw had a probability of 8.5% and a win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 4.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 4-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.86%), while for a Ipswich Town win it was 1-2 (1.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Ipswich Town |
87.4% ( 0.02) | 8.49% ( -0.01) | 4.11% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.45% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.93% ( -0.01) | 22.07% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 59% ( -0.01) | 41% ( 0.01) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.75% | 3.25% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 85.62% ( 0) | 14.37% ( -0.01) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.08% ( -0.05) | 49.92% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.39% ( -0.04) | 84.6% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Ipswich Town |
| 3-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.56% ( -0)2-1 @ 6.61% ( -0)4-1 @ 6.48% ( -0)5-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 5.56% ( 0)5-1 @ 4.44% ( -0)6-0 @ 3.65% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0)6-1 @ 2.54% 4-2 @ 2.25% ( -0)7-0 @ 1.79% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.54% ( -0)7-1 @ 1.24% Other @ 5.02% Total : 87.39% | 1-1 @ 3.86% ( -0) 2-2 @ 2.3% ( -0)0-0 @ 1.62% ( 0)Other @ 0.71% Total : 8.49% | 1-2 @ 1.34% ( -0) 0-1 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 1.65% Total : 4.12% |
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