SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 66.41%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 14.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Liverpool in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Liverpool.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Aston Villa |
66.41% ( 0.07) | 18.78% ( -0.05) | 14.82% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.33% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.29% ( 0.18) | 37.71% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.04% ( 0.19) | 59.95% ( -0.19) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.45% ( 0.07) | 10.54% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.73% ( 0.15) | 34.26% ( -0.15) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.85% ( 0.08) | 38.14% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.09% ( 0.07) | 74.91% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 2-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 7.63% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.14% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.63% Total : 66.4% | 1-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.78% | 1-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.35% ( 0)Other @ 2% Total : 14.82% |
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