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Premier League | Gameweek 26
Feb 21, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Anfield
LT

Liverpool
4 - 1
Luton

van Dijk (56'), Gakpo (58'), Diaz (71'), Elliott (90')
Gomez (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ogbene (12')
Doughty (18'), Woodrow (42'), Barkley (77'), Kabore (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brentford 1-4 Liverpool
Saturday, February 17 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 1-2 Man Utd
Sunday, February 18 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 79.42%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 7.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.64%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-2 (2.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
LiverpoolDrawLuton Town
79.42% (0.084000000000003 0.08) 12.63% (-0.052 -0.05) 7.95% (-0.0299 -0.03)
Both teams to score 54.78% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.25% (0.16900000000001 0.17)26.74% (-0.168 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.83% (0.213 0.21)47.16% (-0.212 -0.21)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.74% (0.048000000000002 0.05)5.26% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.26% (0.14 0.14)20.74% (-0.138 -0.14)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.82% (0.064999999999998 0.06)42.18% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.41% (0.055 0.05)78.59% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 79.42%
    Luton Town 7.95%
    Draw 12.63%
LiverpoolDrawLuton Town
2-0 @ 9.62% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 9.45% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.3% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
3-1 @ 8.15% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 6.96% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.53% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 6.01% (0.021 0.02)
5-0 @ 4.1% (0.019 0.02)
5-1 @ 3.54% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.52% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.59% (0.013 0.01)
6-0 @ 2.01% (0.015 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.74% (0.016 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.53% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 5.38%
Total : 79.42%
1-1 @ 5.64% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 2.22% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 12.63%
1-2 @ 2.43% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-1 @ 1.91% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 7.95%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Brentford 1-4 Liverpool
Saturday, February 17 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 3-1 Burnley
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 3-1 Liverpool
Sunday, February 4 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 4-1 Chelsea
Wednesday, January 31 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 5-2 Norwich
Sunday, January 28 at 2.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Fulham 1-1 Liverpool
Wednesday, January 24 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Luton 1-2 Man Utd
Sunday, February 18 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 1-3 Sheff Utd
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 4-4 Luton
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 4-0 Brighton
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 1-2 Luton
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bolton 1-2 Luton
Tuesday, January 16 at 7.45pm in FA Cup


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