Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 79.42%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 7.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.64%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-2 (2.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
Result | ||
Liverpool | Draw | Luton Town |
79.42% (![]() | 12.63% (![]() | 7.95% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.78% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.25% (![]() | 26.74% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.83% (![]() | 47.16% (![]() |
Liverpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.74% (![]() | 5.26% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
79.26% (![]() | 20.74% (![]() |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.82% (![]() | 42.18% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.41% (![]() | 78.59% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Liverpool | Draw | Luton Town |
2-0 @ 9.62% (![]() 3-0 @ 9.45% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.3% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 8.15% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 6.96% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 6.53% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 6.01% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 4.1% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 3.54% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.52% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.59% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 2.01% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.74% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.53% ( ![]() Other @ 5.38% Total : 79.42% | 1-1 @ 5.64% (![]() 2-2 @ 3.58% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.22% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 0.18% Total : 12.63% | 1-2 @ 2.43% (![]() 0-1 @ 1.91% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.57% Total : 7.95% |
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