SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 60.49%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 19.99% and a draw had a probability of 19.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.62%) and 3-1 (7.23%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (5.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Chelsea |
60.49% ( -2.04) | 19.51% ( 0.41) | 19.99% ( 1.63) |
| Both teams to score 64.02% ( 1.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.41% ( 0.67) | 31.58% ( -0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.92% ( 0.78) | 53.08% ( -0.79) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.74% ( -0.31) | 10.25% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.39% ( -0.69) | 33.61% ( 0.69) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.34% ( 1.96) | 28.66% ( -1.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.52% ( 2.38) | 64.47% ( -2.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Chelsea |
| 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.49)3-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.15)1-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.34)3-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.45)3-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.31)4-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.16)5-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.51% Total : 60.49% | 1-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.27)0-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.38% Total : 19.51% | 1-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.3) 0-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.23)0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.11)Other @ 3.19% Total : 19.99% |
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