SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 50.26%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.84%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 2-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Manchester United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester United.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Manchester United |
27.73% ( -1.55) | 22.01% ( -0.09) | 50.26% ( 1.64) |
| Both teams to score 64.63% ( -0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.02% ( -0.67) | 34.98% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.04% ( -0.75) | 56.96% ( 0.75) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.4% ( -1.32) | 24.6% ( 1.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.9% ( -1.89) | 59.1% ( 1.89) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.72% ( 0.31) | 14.28% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.93% ( 0.59) | 42.07% ( -0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Manchester United |
| 2-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.22) 1-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.23)3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.64% Total : 27.73% | 1-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.01% | 1-2 @ 9.33% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.3)0-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.36)1-3 @ 6.05% ( 0.17)0-3 @ 4.32% ( 0.28)2-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.95% ( 0.11)0-4 @ 2.1% ( 0.16)2-4 @ 2.07% 1-5 @ 1.15% ( 0.06)3-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.6% Total : 50.26% |
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