Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 50.26%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.84%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 2-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Manchester United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester United.
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Manchester United |
27.73% (![]() | 22.01% (![]() | 50.26% (![]() |
Both teams to score 64.63% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.02% (![]() | 34.98% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.04% (![]() | 56.96% (![]() |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.4% (![]() | 24.6% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.9% (![]() | 59.1% (![]() |
Manchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.72% (![]() | 14.28% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.93% (![]() | 42.07% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Manchester United |
2-1 @ 6.72% (![]() 1-0 @ 4.93% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.46% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.14% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.06% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.1% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 2.64% Total : 27.73% | 1-1 @ 9.59% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.54% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.51% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.98% ( ![]() Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.01% | 1-2 @ 9.33% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.84% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.65% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.05% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.32% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.25% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.95% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.07% 1-5 @ 1.15% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 3.6% Total : 50.26% |
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